
This is the third in a series of articles considering how the Credit Crunch has affected graduate opportunities in different parts of the world. The first part in the series looked at career options for international students seeking work in the UK. The second part highlighted growth areas in the Middle-East. Others in the series will be linked from here when they are published. Because information can get out of date quickly, the following is only a guide. Please use the comments tag to share your experiences.
Background:
The job market in India is currently very mixed. The latest Business Today Employment Outlook Survey suggests business confidence is down by five index points and the employment outlook index has only grown by one index point. What does this mean? It means that employment is continuing to grow but not at the rate expected. However employers are increasing employment activity. According to the recent outlook survey, the employment growth prospects for the IT, ITES, manufacturing & engineering sectors are buoyant while financial services and telecoms are projected to witness a reverse swing in their hiring activities.
PWC India state that the economy is growing at 8% p.a. and that the issues in the financial sector may encourage the expertise to move from that sector to other growth areas.
However, the credit crunch is already having an effect on employment in India. Manpower India have suggested that just under 10% of those employed in financial services, insurance, IT, and IT Enabled sectors could risk job loss as a result of the financial meltdown. The Times of India quoted Dr Naresh Malhan of Manpower India who believes that the overall employment market will remain strong with continued growth in manufacturing and construction. There is concern however that even if other sectors are not directly affected, global companies may use this period to shed un-necessary staff internationally, including in India. This could have a knock-on effect for graduates because highly qualified and experienced staff (for example from Lehman Brothers and Merill Lynch) will be recruited by smaller companies who may traditionally have preferred graduates.
The latest labour market information from India suggests that the overall net employment outlook (Oct – Dec) to fall from 43% to 45%. The Manpower index measures the difference between employers who plan to add jobs and those who expect to cut them, and India topped the 33 countries surveyed by Manpower despite the marginal fall from the previous quarter. According to the survey, India’s services-heavy economy grew the slowest in 3-½ years in the June quarter, weighed down by seven-year high interest rates and record oil prices. Growth in the services sector, which accounts for more than half of India’s output, slowed to 10 percent in the June quarter from 11.2 percent a year ago. Financial, insurance and real estate services growth declined to 9.3 percent from 12.6 percent. But more manufacturers are optimistic on hiring, with the sector index up 14 percentage points to 44 percent for the quarter, according to the survey. Miners and construction firms said they expected more employees joining, with a net of 54 percent looking to hire, 9 percentage points over the prior quarter.
A good source of information about the Indian economy and business news is The Economic Times and students wishing to follow careers in India should read it regularly.
Prime Minister Manmohan Singh has actively called on business leaders not to cut jobs in the current economic climate. Business leaders have been sympathetic but there is a difference between not cutting jobs and actively recruiting.
So where are the jobs?
Professional Services
In an economic downturn there are usually businesses that benefit and Professional Services seem to have a positive outlook in the different regions covered already in this series. In India, Deloitte have announced they are looking to recruit another 2000 employees by the end of the current financial year. They are looking to expand into three broad areas in India-strategy and operations, human capital, human resources and technology. PWC, E&Y and KPMG are all continuing to hire graduates at various professions across audit, tax, and advisory services. It is best to consider applying to local offices first. Remember that many candidates just think about applying to the Big Four but there are many smaller and specialist consultancy firms who are keen to benefit from fresh graduates.
Banking and Finance
The Government of India is considering to lift the virtual ban on recruitment in the Regional Rural Banks – RRB’s. According to CareerFinance.com this would lead to recruitment of approx.18,000 people in the 88 Regional Rural Banks over the next four years. The ban was lifted in 2004 but there has been limited recruitment since.
Oriental Bank of Commerce is applying for 100 licenses to open more branches in India. The bank already has license for 60 branches, which would be opened during this year.
Chennai is set to benefit from Standard Chartered Bank which is looking to double its existing 5,000 staff over the next five years, making Chennai the bank’s biggest technology and operations hub.
Government and Public Sector
The Government and public sector still remain very significant employers. Whilst many Government functions are being adopted by private enterprises, there are many walk-in graduate opportunities across a wide range of professions. Government jobs are not centralised and many vacancies are advertised locally or at State level. However Sarkari-Naukri and 123oye both have credible Government jobs sections.
IT and ITES
The IT and ITES sector has been heavily dependent on the financial sector. The top five IT service suppliers depend on the finance sector for 45% of their business. This is already having an affect with Satyam’sshares fell to a five-year low recently. Tata have also published disappointing results but are currently recruiting in a range of fields. With about 50% of all business coming from the US there are going to be further ramifications across the sector – for example, the merging of banks will consolidate outsourcing contracts and will cut back on duplicated work for different clients.
However the forecast is promising. The industry has been proactive and understanding the need to reduce the dominance of US contracts. The sector already has 35% of the business process outsourcing market globally. According to ZDNet, Arup Roy, a senior research analyst at Gartner, noted that while India still ranks number-one as the outsourcing destination of choice, Indian outsourcers have made a “conscious effort” to shift low-end work to other countries.
Careers in IT and ITES are still strong with hundreds of walk-in opportunities for graduates. The International Job Online website usually has dozens of such vacancies courtesy of our Indian jobs partner. Other vacancies can be found here
Retail
The big players are very much moving into the Indian market. According to the Indian Economy blog, “Tesco has chosen to come with Tatas, while Reliance has tied up with Wincanton. The big daddy of them all, Wal-Mart is coming to India courtesy the Bharti group.” But what sort of jobs are involved in retail?
It isn’t just stacking shelves!
Tesco are currently advertising a wide range of roles through their Hindustan Service Centre . In IT they are currently recruiting in development, programming, testing, project management and quality assurance. In Business Services there are roles in finance, estates, advertising, general and process management. Tesco are also recruiting in finance. Their careers site is here. As you can see, retail isn’t just about working in a store. It is about all the back-room activity that needs to be in place to ensure the store is managed efficiently and maximises income. Think also of the supply chain – which companies will benefit from the superstore revolution? Logistics and supply chain companies will definitely benefit and there is continued growth in these sectors.
Finding those jobs
The Careers Centre has some resources that may help. Ask to see our copy of “Your first job – from campus to career”by Rajiv Khurana. We also have a very useful guide to designing CVs for India. The International Job Online website has a comprehensive range of vacancies in India. Additionally, Naukri is one of the easiest job websites to navigate. Manpower have a useful, if a bit random, list of recruitment agencies here. It is better to find a recruitment agency that is embedded in the sector you want to work in. Remember, if you are uploading a CV to a jobs website, check the privacy statement on the site – who is going to be able to access your personal information? Be cautious about uploading CVs and make sure the site is authentic.
The next article in this series will focus on graduate careers in China.
Publication w/c 17 November 2008